Florida And South Carolina: Newt Ahead Of Romney, Obama Ahead Of Them All
It’s still very early in the election season, but in one major swing state and one fairly solidly red state, Newt is looking quite a bit better than Romney, the nearest Republican competitor, and Obama is looking better than either.
In an NBC-Marist poll released Sunday, Gingrich has substantial leads over Romney in both states. In Florida, Gingrich leads Romney by 15 points (44% – Gingrich, 29% – Romney , 8% – Paul, and 4% – Perry) In a head to head matchup, it’s Gingrich 54% and Romney 36%.
South Carolina is even more dramatic, with a full 19% lead in the full field of candidates (42% – Gingrich, 23% – Romney, 9% – Paul and Perry and Bachmann tied at 7%). In a South Carolina head to head, Gingrich’s lead grows to 24 points (57 – 33%).
Much of Gingrich’s support comes from the ultra-conservative wing of the conservative Republican party. Tea Party supporters, who according to the poll, are about half the prospective primary voters, favor Gingrich by 30 points.
In a hypothetical general election matchup, when a group of registered voters were polled, President Obama leads Romney by seven points and Gingrich by 12 points, comfortably outside of the margin of error of + – 2.1%. Florida, as seen in 2000, can be the key state in a Presidential election.
In South Carolina, he leads Romney by just one point and Gingrich by 4 points. While these results are very close, they are encouraging because South Carolina is traditionally a Republican stronghold.