Romney’s Reagan Fantasy
Romney is losing. His campaign is a disaster; every time he speaks to the middle class or goes to a different country, he manages to insult people without apparently giving any great effort. His public relations are a dismal failure; every week, it seems, something new comes out about his childhood bullying, his disastrous economic plans, or his ties to animal cruelty.
His aides, though, are laboring under the impression that this presidential race will play out like the 1980 election between Reagan and President Carter, where Carter led Reagan for much of the race but Reagan broke through just in time for November.
Except that never happened. The graph below shows polling results before the Reagan/Carter election, where Carter only led very early in the race. At this same time in the race, he was in the 30% approval rating area.
Compare that to polls of this presidential race, shown below:
Reagan also was, notably, an incredibly eloquent and expressive speaker, a trait in which Mitt is sadly lacking.