Polls taken in battleground states such as Wisconsin, Iowa, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia all show Obama is in the lead by several percentage points.
Assuming Oregon, Washington, California, New Mexico, Minnesota, Michigan, Illinois, Maine, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Hawaii, and the District of Columbia are likely to vote for Obama, the President would only need to win Florida and any other swing state to take the election.
Huffington Post, tracking hundreds of polls from around the country, shows Obama’s recent rise overall:
In Virginia, a poll by the Washington Post shows Obama up by eight percentage points. Two other polls–CBS and Fox–show Obama winning by seven points.
NBC polls show President Barack Obama winning Wisconsin and Iowa, by five and eight points respectively.
Polls by Fox and NBC show Romney losing by five points in Florida, as well, which Romney cannot afford to lose if he expects to contend for the presidency. The polls show Obama up forty-nine percent to forty-four, leaving seven percent undecided.
A Fox News poll also shows Obama winning Ohio by seven percentage points. Ohio, with eighteen electoral votes, is also a very important swing state for Romney.
ABC News reports on Obama’s rising poll numbers:
Obama’s momentum did not come overnight. It built over several weeks in which Romney hit some potholes while the president made few errors and benefited from previously unseen advantages in advertising strategy and fundraising.
The polls show trouble rising for Romney almost everywhere he looks. He has fallen dangerously behind in Virginia and Ohio, and his ability to close in on Obama in Iowa and Wisconsin is now in doubt.
The polls suggest that Romney must do more than inch his way up in a handful of states. He must win overwhelming shares of undecided voters, maximize the GOP’s turnout, and suppress Obama’s turnout where he can.
Some say millions of Americans started paying serious attention to the race during the two parties’ conventions, when Democrats seemed to make a better impression. Former President Bill Clinton’s detailed defense of Obama was especially effective, it seems.
Other campaign veterans say Romney has failed to present a cogent vision for where he wants to take the country. His message sometimes seems vague or confusing, as when he pledges to slash federal spending and then criticizes Obama for promising to squeeze $716 billion from Medicare.
Any way you look at it, the outlook for the Democratic side is quite positive.