New Poll Shows Democrats Would Win If Midterm Elections Were Held Today

Author: April 9, 2013 4:45 pm
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) flanked by Representative Xavier Becerra (D-CA) and Representative Jerrold Nadler (D-NY)

Happy Days Are Here Again? A recent Quinnipac University poll shows that Democrats could re-take the House in 2014. An elated House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) flanked by Representative Xavier Becerra (D-CA) and Representative Jerrold Nadler (D-NY). Photo from Business Insider.

Last week, The Business Insider reported a recent poll, showing  good news for Democrats:

When asked which party they would support if an election for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, 43 percent of those polled said they would support the Democrat to 35 percent supporting the Republican.

Some poll highlights: 

  • Among all American voters, the Democrat Party is less disliked than the GOP: the Democrats get a negative 38-44% favorability, compared to the negative 28-52% for the Republicans.
  • The Tea Party gets a negative 24-43% rating.
  • Voters also gave Republicans in Congress a negative 19-71% job approval, compared to a negative 34-59 percent for Democrats in Congress.


Even the small bit of bad news isn’t so bad:

President Barack Obama got a post-election bounce to 53-40% in December Quinnipac University poll. Then he dropped to a mid 40s split, as the budget battle with Congress too its toll, Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute said. “Now he may be inching up.”

Given this good news, the task of winning the majority in the 2014, may still be daunting for Democrats, considering the current Republican hold. Democrats will need to win 18 seats in order for President Obama to accomplish his goals for America, before leaving office in 2016.

Additional Information: The poll asks: If the Republican primary for President were being held today, for whom would you vote if these were the candidates? Answers: Rubio 19%, Ryan 17%, Paul 15%, Christie 14%, Bush 10%, Walker 2%, Don’t Know/NA 18%

One final key finding of the poll is the widespread dissatisfaction of self-identified Republicans with their own party. Only 63 percent of Republicans have a positive opinion of their own party.

The Quinnipac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the  nation as a public service for research.

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