Why Democrats May Never Win Back The House In One Chart (VIDEO)

Talking Points Memo and NBC’s Chuck Todd have some very bad news for Democrats, although anyone who follows politics like many of our readers do won’t be surprised. Republicans have made it nearly impossible for Democrats to take back the House, at least for a very long time.

The reason, as many of you may know, is gerrymandering, which is the practice of redrawing the lines of voting districts every 10 years, when the census is released. It sounds reasonable, right?

The problem, though, with gerrymandering is that it’s all political. It has little to do with population and a lot to do with voting trends. Politicians draw the districts in ways that will make it most likely that their same party will win.

Here’s a better explanation:

Some of the districts are so screwy that you might have a voting location right across the street, but you might have to travel miles to reach your district’s voting location.

The last time the census was done, the districts were gerrymandered in a way that favored Republicans because Republicans were largely in charge of the gerrymandering. The districts won’t be redrawn again until after the 2020 census.

What that means for voters is that Republicans will continue to win the House most likely till at least 2022, but even after that could be unlikely because of gerrymandering. The politicians who draw the lines in 2020 will most likely be majority Republican, which may further seal their fate.

In Talking Point Memo’s chart below, they’ve broken down vote tallies in three states: Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan. For Pennsylvania and Michigan, Democrats got more votes than Republicans, yet because of redistricting, Republicans took more than twice as many seats.

In Ohio, Republicans had more votes, but not enough to justify them taking three times as many seats as did the Democrats.

Chart courtesy of Talking Points Memo

Chart courtesy of Talking Points Memo